UEL: Fenerbahce - Lazio pick

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Lazio Roma
04/04, 21:05 CET
Lazio +0,25 @ 2.00, 188BET

I have to confess that I don´t follow Lazio´s matches regularly and Fenerbahce is a team I watched only in two round of 16´s matches against Pilsen. But I still believe I am able to get an edge here.
Lazio is having perspective of the important league game against AS Roma coming on monday, but also of playing the second leg without spectators with home advantage being reduced. They will use "the strongest possible" line-up, maybe even with Klose involved, but Kozák is in great form anyway, being the Europa league´s best scorer. The Italian team is unbeaten in 12 UEL matches.
I heard voices from Turkey that Fenerbahce is a very strong side, I heard that before the clash with Pilsen and to be honest, neither of sides really impressed me (except few quick counters) and with Pilsen playing what they really can, Fenerbahce could be already out of the competition. Unlike the previous round, Turkish side will benefit from presence of spectators, the ban is over. But that´s all. Fenerbahce have practically all impressive results in this season´s Europa league from away grounds - wins in Marseille, Moenchengladbach and Pilsen are pretty good. At home that counts wins over Limassol and ten-men BATE (still just 1:0), draw to Marseille and Pilsen (without spectators) and loss in the mixed squads´ game against Moenchengladbach. Of course, they have solid players like Sow, Stoch, Kuyt, Topal, Baroni, Meireles.. But I clearly don´t expect them winning there with the pressure to create this game mostly on their arms and Lazio´s quick transition to the attack.
It´s surprising for me to have Lazio +0,25 as a slight outsider, I see them getting a draw out of this clash with full win as possible bonus. Stake 3/5