Two new Czech picks

Weekend action is closing in with Czech league having matches all the way from friday to monday. Especially in perspective of saturday´s Ostrava - Liberec, half of my O1.5 double, I pray for acceptable weather; eastern parts of the Czechia are covered with snow and it´s not just an april joke. Thanks God, I can do also more safe picks with better odds on game being played in the planned term. I rate these two very low, somewhere at 1.05.

České Budějovice - Příbram
04/05, 18:00 CET
Draw @ 3.40, Marathon and BTTS @ 2.00, William Hill
stake 2/5 & 2/5

16th České Budějovice will welcome 14th Příbram in a match not to be lost. The importance of the game is well reflected in the fact, that players will pay full price of all tickets "sold", so spectators don´t have to pay. "If you want to punish them, just come and support us," said jokingly Budějovice´s marketing chief. But during the game, all jokes will be forgiven, because losing this match would leave home side six points behind staying in the league with eight rounds to go. It´s not an easy task they are facing.
Příbram is on a 2-1-1 run, which took them up from the last place they occupied. Their former coach Marko tought them to play football and new coach Straka added spirit and determination. Midfielder Aziz, who came from Kuwait, is a revelation of the recent rounds. National team player with physical proportions similar to Messi can easily cause shock also to České Budějovice, Czech teams simply can´t defend such players, all Plzen´s success was build on playing technically and quickly (Petržela, now player of Augsburg, played this way and I really miss him). Interestingly, Příbram is having in squad Krbeček, Wagner and Trapp. Krbeček and Wagner played early in their carrier in Plzen, which played similar style of football long years before becoming internationally known, and Wagner was trying his luck in Plzen´s squad during the last season, but after playing just as a substitute player came back to Příbram. No surprise, coach Marko always wanted to play football and Příbram, however of recording the most U1,5´s (9/21) in the Czech league, is a team created to gain points actively. The reason why they are so low in the table is, that at least under Marko, they were unable to practice it successfully. Away appearances are quite a big problem so far. After six losses in a row, including e. g. out-of-form Brno, three of them 0:1 and 1:6 in Olomouc, previous 1:0 win in Slovácko gives team needed hope, but it makes bets on away side unsure investion.
As I said this is the game not to be lost for both teams. And honestly, home team should go for win in order to bridge the point gap to Příbram and in order to satisfy fans. If there is a goal, the probability of second one coming sooner or later on the opposite side is high. I am sure that home team have to (classical Czech strategy: "It will be a fighting game.") and away team can more than before. My primary pick is BTTS, my secondary pick is draw, a bit of insurance for 0:0, but it can be also 3:3  - my last two draw picks ended with 3:3 and 3:2. 2/5 BTTS @ 2.00, William Hill, 2/5 draw @ 3.40 Marathon.

Plzen - Teplice 
04/07, 16:00 CET
Teplice +1,5 @ 2.10, 12BET
stake 3/5

It´s always risky to bet against Plzen (I used to call them "Pilsen" since the original Czech name Plzeň has that weird "ň", but I see it´s way easier to use the most internationally known name), while they play at home, and it seems even more risky, when you are backing team like Teplice (0-3-3 form, second from the bottom, three 2- or more goal losses). And I do agree, this is not a safe choice. However, if I have to say where the value should be, I´m saying it´s on Teplice +1,5.
Usually, I have only words of shame for Teplice. They are boring, unable to press opponent and still you can hardly expect them leaving the first league and letting some more creative team like Bohemians Prague playing instead of them. But Plzen can be an ideal opponent.
Viktoria needs victory and they need just a victory. Not a beautiful football, just to get on the wave again. Plzen have two losses in a row, pretty uncommon for this team. But not only results. I feel it also from the game. Since overcoming Napoli with sensational 5:0 on aggregate, it´s not that Plzen - including captain Horvath, key figure - in the top form . 3:1 in Brno, but not so convincing with decisive goals in 75th and 90th minute. Then 1:1 at home to Ostrava, problems with finishing actions, of course big difference in playing on the opponent´s half and Plzen could win. After that Fenerbahce - Turks took Plzen seriously and unlike Napoli, they´ve found the way Plzen is beatable. 2:0 win in Mladá Boleslav (5th), good result in quite an open game with two red cards. 1:1 in Istanbul, not that energy I hoped to see. 4:0 to Dukla Prague, which missed a penalty kick and played 89 minutes in ten players. And then, after 1:0 cup win against Hradec without NT players, losses with Sparta (just like Fenerbahce, they knew what to play and scored in the right moment) and Jablonec. They really need to win matches like this upcoming and I think they can get stressed without a quick opener.
Teplice are in bad position, but this is the last match they would feel pressure in. They know that they have to give it real maximum and every point gained, every goal not conceded will be a win for them. If there is something Teplice can do sometimes, that thing are counter attacks. Especially Litsingi, winter newcomer, is a quick, technical player, that can be dangerous and make final pass. Key striker Mahmutovič should be fit again, another new midfield acquisition, good Slovak player Janiš, may appear in the starting eleven too. Teplice showed that they can trouble big favorite already in Northbohemian derby against Jablonec (0:0). Also september´s clash with Plzen resulted in division of points, 1:1.
Under the concrete conditions, this match will test Plzen, especially their morale power, very strongly and they may suffer. +1,5 handicap at 2.1 is something I want to try. Once again a bit of wondering whether to choose 2 or 3/5 stake, but it will be 3/5 @ 2.10, 12BET.