pondělí 15. dubna 2013

New draw strategy and the first pick

As the name of this blog suggests, I have started my serious betting carrier with picking draws. I got bored after the month or two, I don´t have overall statistics and 99 % of betting data was lost when I mistakenly deleted it from my old blog site. Anyway, draws are my only stable point. I mean: I can achieve big losing rate with classical AH or O/U picks and big losing rate with draws, but I don´t think my longest serie without win picking X´s at 3 or higher was not significantly longer than my black periods, documented on BetRush, where I have losses on wide range of picks with odds under 2 and some outsider backings too... I mean the only way I can stay calm, concentrated and feeling positively is picking draws... There may be very long runs of losing picks, long periods without the profit, but I am confident to pick the games with enough accuracy to end every month at least in the neutral zone...

Lazio - Juventus X @ 3.51, Pinnacle
Last eight matches between these two sides ended with three draws and five wins by one goal.
Last thirteen respective games ended with U3,5 goals, four draws and seven wind by one goal.
Juventus played tight away matches with all top Serie A sides this season.
Lazio played tight matches with all of them too, except 0:2 loss against Fiorentina (surely could take more out of this game).
Lazio´s defense is depleted with four significant absences, Lulic is injured too. But Juve also not fully strong: Chiellini, Giovinco and maybe also Marchisio out.
Both teams, especially Lazio, are in the situation, where win is not unwelcomed, but none of the two need to really "win or die", while draw against tough opponent would let Juve leading Serie A by nine points and Lazio staying in the top five with six rounds to go. 

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