neděle 31. března 2013
Today´s betting options
Czech match is canceled, so I am concentrating my attention to Spain and England. My thoughts are Betis to win against Getafe at (2.00 Interwetten, 1.91 Paddy, 888, Blue Square and WillHill), Granada to have more chances than odds suggest in Bilbao, but my only real pick of the day is Fulham to draw with QPR. Here is a short preview. I suggest mid/lower stake, for my record here I will rate it as 2/5, mostly because I do not concentrate on English football at all in recent weeks...
Good & Bad news
The bad news is that today´s match between Ostrava and Jihlava, my hot favorite for home win with -0,75 handicap at awesome odds, was canceled due to bad pitch condition (cold weather, snow...). I am really disappointed about this.
The good one is that I have had positive weekend in overall and also talking about my blog picks. Out of four selections, two came home, with negatively surprising duel of Plzeň and Sparta and also Brno, which was once again unable to get maximum possible - they surely could at least draw with Hradec and give m half stake back.. But we are still at ROI of 134,31 % thanks to pleasing Mallorca - La Coruna clash and impressive 3:3 draw, meaning one point for Příbram and Jablonec.
You can check my short record here. I hope to keep it positive with another picks coming soon.
The good one is that I have had positive weekend in overall and also talking about my blog picks. Out of four selections, two came home, with negatively surprising duel of Plzeň and Sparta and also Brno, which was once again unable to get maximum possible - they surely could at least draw with Hradec and give m half stake back.. But we are still at ROI of 134,31 % thanks to pleasing Mallorca - La Coruna clash and impressive 3:3 draw, meaning one point for Příbram and Jablonec.
You can check my short record here. I hope to keep it positive with another picks coming soon.
sobota 30. března 2013
Sunday picks
I was having really extraordinary saturday even missing a lot more of value, which was around. I think I am not the only one, who benefited from that busy schedule full of interesting matches. All in all, I have became self-confident once again and till next losing streak (hopefully long way ahead of me) I will listen to my intuition.
I have and I will have a lot of picks also for sunday, but to mention just clearly my own production, it´s Brno to win against Hradec Králové in the Czech Gambrinus liga (using -0,25 handicap, still around evens; preview is to be found here).
I also feel that Mallorca - Deportivo game may have great overish potential. 2.10 in Ladbrokes and StanJames, typical lazy bookies, seems simply too much for over 2,5. La Coruna have recently improved defensive results averaging just one goal conceded in the last four league rounds, two of them against Barca and Real. I do completely understand that this, together with poor attack, can present La Coruna as an underish side. But... Real and Barca with their minds and powers caught in the Champions league (another impressive showings yesterday with Barca being one of my few losers) can not be taken seriously. Celta Vigo spending an hour + in ten players: that´s another one not to interest us too much. And Rayo Vallecano with their impressive 1-1-4 run and playing away, that´s the fourth team. Throughout the season Mallorca showed few great attractive performances and also few matches of the "pain to watch" category. But just mentioning the fact that they have conceded only four less goals than Depor, this reveals them as anything but 0:0 favorite. The clocks are ticking, time to fight for La Liga, especially La Coruna really should show all the cards they have and continuing their great red cards record too, they could give away one easy goal to Mallorca. Choosing the over I will pray for an early opener, being calm once it is scored..
I have and I will have a lot of picks also for sunday, but to mention just clearly my own production, it´s Brno to win against Hradec Králové in the Czech Gambrinus liga (using -0,25 handicap, still around evens; preview is to be found here).
I also feel that Mallorca - Deportivo game may have great overish potential. 2.10 in Ladbrokes and StanJames, typical lazy bookies, seems simply too much for over 2,5. La Coruna have recently improved defensive results averaging just one goal conceded in the last four league rounds, two of them against Barca and Real. I do completely understand that this, together with poor attack, can present La Coruna as an underish side. But... Real and Barca with their minds and powers caught in the Champions league (another impressive showings yesterday with Barca being one of my few losers) can not be taken seriously. Celta Vigo spending an hour + in ten players: that´s another one not to interest us too much. And Rayo Vallecano with their impressive 1-1-4 run and playing away, that´s the fourth team. Throughout the season Mallorca showed few great attractive performances and also few matches of the "pain to watch" category. But just mentioning the fact that they have conceded only four less goals than Depor, this reveals them as anything but 0:0 favorite. The clocks are ticking, time to fight for La Liga, especially La Coruna really should show all the cards they have and continuing their great red cards record too, they could give away one easy goal to Mallorca. Choosing the over I will pray for an early opener, being calm once it is scored..
Olympic games 2020 host pick
The longest shot I can imagine - I am bringing you bet, which will be decided in september 2013, while the event itself is set to run in 2020. But this time waiting can easily pay out.
We have three candidate cities remaining in the fight with depressed Madrid (both economically and due to their unseccessfull recent olympic effort) and two determined favorites, Istanbul and Tokyo. For bookmakers, Istanbul is quite a clear underdog with odds around 3 (3 in Coral, Paddy and bet-at-home), while Tokyo rates comfortably under 1.75. I think that bookies should hope that not many people will see this opportunity, because it´s HUGE in my opinion. Just look at GamesBids.com, the deepest specialist in this topic. They rate Istanbul as a slight favorite and they have been rating them higher than Tokyo long months back. Japan is really determined to get another olympic games. There is a strong rising public support over 75 % with Toyota being the most recent and pretty strong partner of the bid. But there is no reason to doubt about Istanbul´s candidature too! Turks are great nationalists and the games have consistent support from the country´s top politicians including the prime minister, who promoted Istanbul during the 2012 olympics, being present in London; he will also attend in Buenos Aires,where the september decisive ceremony will be held. The organizing team has impressed the IOC delegation during its recent visit to Istanbul; the infrastructure for the games is already being made. Turkey hosted both winter (2011) and summer (2005) universiade and year ago also the first major athletics competition on its soil with the indoor worlds 2012.
I see great value in picking Istanbul @ 3 to host the Olympic games 2020!
We have three candidate cities remaining in the fight with depressed Madrid (both economically and due to their unseccessfull recent olympic effort) and two determined favorites, Istanbul and Tokyo. For bookmakers, Istanbul is quite a clear underdog with odds around 3 (3 in Coral, Paddy and bet-at-home), while Tokyo rates comfortably under 1.75. I think that bookies should hope that not many people will see this opportunity, because it´s HUGE in my opinion. Just look at GamesBids.com, the deepest specialist in this topic. They rate Istanbul as a slight favorite and they have been rating them higher than Tokyo long months back. Japan is really determined to get another olympic games. There is a strong rising public support over 75 % with Toyota being the most recent and pretty strong partner of the bid. But there is no reason to doubt about Istanbul´s candidature too! Turks are great nationalists and the games have consistent support from the country´s top politicians including the prime minister, who promoted Istanbul during the 2012 olympics, being present in London; he will also attend in Buenos Aires,where the september decisive ceremony will be held. The organizing team has impressed the IOC delegation during its recent visit to Istanbul; the infrastructure for the games is already being made. Turkey hosted both winter (2011) and summer (2005) universiade and year ago also the first major athletics competition on its soil with the indoor worlds 2012.
I see great value in picking Istanbul @ 3 to host the Olympic games 2020!
pátek 29. března 2013
Two more Czech picks
I´ve analysed also the three remaining matches of the Czech first league, round 21.
Brno - Hradec Králové - sunday, 3 PM CET - Two bottom sides, but Brno slightly better in every aspect. Home with -0,25 handicap @ 1.98
Teplice - Slavia Prague - sunday, 6:05 PM CET - Struggling home side, but Teplice are not generally so weak team and they have to succeed somehow and really need points. Slavia would be 0 or -0,25 favorite for me, but they will miss their captain Kisel. Under is more likely, but BTTS and potentially also over are not unimaginable.. No bet for me
Ostrava - Jihlava - monday, 4 PM CET - Home side by some distance superior to away side IMO, -0,75 handicap @ 2.14
Once again, previews can be found at BetRush
Brno - Hradec Králové - sunday, 3 PM CET - Two bottom sides, but Brno slightly better in every aspect. Home with -0,25 handicap @ 1.98
Teplice - Slavia Prague - sunday, 6:05 PM CET - Struggling home side, but Teplice are not generally so weak team and they have to succeed somehow and really need points. Slavia would be 0 or -0,25 favorite for me, but they will miss their captain Kisel. Under is more likely, but BTTS and potentially also over are not unimaginable.. No bet for me
Ostrava - Jihlava - monday, 4 PM CET - Home side by some distance superior to away side IMO, -0,75 handicap @ 2.14
Once again, previews can be found at BetRush
Saturday Gambrinus liga picks
After the three opening matches today - 4:0 win of in-form Dukla Prague at home against the strugglers from České Budějovice, highly needed 2:0 win of Mladá Boleslav, which still dreams about the European cups, against Slovácko, and another home win of Liberec, 1:0 against Olomouc in this attractive to-be-tight duel - we have another two games tomorrow and both interest me from the betting view.
Příbram - Jablonec - starting at 4 PM CET, I expect tight underish game. My picks are draw and under 2,5 with logical correct score choices 0:0 and 1:1.
Sparta - Plzeň - starting at 8:15 PM CET, this is the game of this spring. I see this being great football with over at great odds.
You can check previews for both matches at BetRush.
Příbram - Jablonec - starting at 4 PM CET, I expect tight underish game. My picks are draw and under 2,5 with logical correct score choices 0:0 and 1:1.
Sparta - Plzeň - starting at 8:15 PM CET, this is the game of this spring. I see this being great football with over at great odds.
You can check previews for both matches at BetRush.
úterý 5. března 2013
UCL 03/05
One pick that I really like today: Dortmund - Real X - it´s a special offer, not every bookie will offer you this, but @ around 4, it´s great value for me for very simple reasons: Shakhtar is not a weak team and Real is extremely strong, motivated and confident. The only thing to fear is that the game played in Germany may be more high-scoring, that´s why only X for me..
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